Thursday's Lay Bets (21st July)

1.15 Recon Mission 11/2 2PL doesn't seem to produce its best on fast good to firm ground and may also be better over a longer distance, the trainer is 0-22 with their older horses on this course while the jockey has a 15% win ratio which is the reason this isn't a three point lay. 

2.00 Cabeza De Liave 15/8 2PL the trainer is 0-17 at this course and the jockey has a poor 5% win ratio for the stable, it has faded before over this distance so looks better over five furlongs which makes it poor value to back and not too risky to take a chance and lay it. 

5.55 JR Gavagin 6/1 2PL has never won over this distance because it seems too far for it and this race shouldn't be run to suit it with 3 front running types in the race,