Friday, 28 January 2022

Friday's Lay Bets (28th January)

2.45 Wings Of A Dove 6/1 hasn't produced a speed figure good enough to win this race and the horse hasnt won on an artificial surface in 6 attempts also the trainer is 0-13 in the last 2 weeks and its been 29 runners and 46 days since the stable last had a winner. 

7.45 Shanghai Rock 8/1 hasn't been in good form lately nor has the stable who have had 25 runners in 41 days since they last had a winner and 0-6 in the last 2 weeks, it races as though a longer distance would suit it better Q Twenty Boy 5/1 has only slow times on its 2 runs over this c/d including when it won, the jockey is a poor 3-71 for the stable, its been 17 runners over 22 days since the stables last win and its another horse that seems to need a longer distance to shine.

Good luck if you follow. 

Thursday, 27 January 2022

Thursday's Lay Bet (27th January)

2.55 Eye Of The Water hasn't been in good form lately, the trainer is 1-21 at this course and the jockey is 1-13 for this stable.

Good luck if you follow. 

Wednesday, 26 January 2022

Wednesday's Lay Bets (26th January)

2.30 Krazy Paving 3/1 trainer hasn't had a winner in the past 11 days, time wise it needs to improve and looks poor value Ocean Eyes 6/1 its 27 runners and 47 days since the stable last had a winner and the horse is still a maiden after 16 races 

7.00 Ghallya 15/2 hasn't been in good form lately, its 3 previous c/d runs have resulted in slow times, even when it won here, and its best from Lingfield would need approving upon to win this race.

Good luck if you follow. 

Tuesday, 25 January 2022

Tuesday's Lay Bets (25th January)

2.30 Knockout Blow its been 56 runners and 767 days since this stable was last in the winners enclosure and can struggle to stay this trip if there's a decent early pace 

3.00 Lorna Cole is 3rd top on my figures and i doubt it can pick up the leaders as i think she might prefer a longer trip 

7.30 Haseef hasn't run on this surface before but the trainers record here is 0-6 and its 18 runners and 54 days since the stable last had a winner Tyger Bay the trainer is 0-10 at this course and the trainers last winner was 3 weeks ago, the horse has relatively slow times to its name. 

8.00 Maple Jack has only slow times at this distance and may need this run for fitness.

Good luck if you follow.

Monday, 24 January 2022

Monday's Lay Bets (24th January)

1.00 Cool Spirit 7/1 needs to improve time wise to win this race and its been 258 days since the stable last had a winner 

1.45 Won Love is still a maiden after 8 races and hasn't made the frame in any of them, the jockey is 0-4 for the stable plus its been 12 runners and 77 days since the stable was last successful Sir Gregory is a maiden after 9 runs and has only once made the frame and has poorish trainer/jockey stats.

Good luck if you follow. 

Saturday, 22 January 2022

Saturday Lay bets (22nd January)

7.30 Red Allure 3/1 may struggle to stay the distance, its 167 days since the stable last had a winner and at this course in the last 5 years the trainer is 0-75 

8.00 Indian Affair 7/1 finishes well at this distance but might be better when racing over further, its last win came back in 2019 and may have been flattered when finishing 3rd in a slow run race.

Good luck if you follow. 

Friday, 21 January 2022

Friday's Lay Bets (21st January)

Eeh Bah Gum 7/1 may need the run for fitness and poor recent (recent in terms of its last few runs and not datewise recent) form and 0-3 on AW tracks Glen Rosa 6/1 trainer is 0-16 with older horses at this course, jockey is 0-18 for the stable, still a maiden after 12 races 

6.30 Khulu 4/1 may find this distance too far for it 

7.00 Toussarak 5/1 may not favour this surface and its c/d winning time was relatively slow but only a small lay as the jockey does well for the trainer Tommy Taylor 11/4 may prefer a longer trip, won in a slow time last time out, trainer is 0-8 in apprentice jockey races Idoapologise 6/1 may need a longer distance to shine, trainer is 0-2 in apprentice jockey races, jockey is 0-15 riding for this stable.

Good luck if you follow. 

Tuesday, 21 December 2021

Frankie Dettori: Discussing The Phenomenal Stats of the Legendary Jockey

If there’s one name in racing that is guaranteed to draw your eye on the race card, it must be Frankie Dettori. The 50-year-old Italian has been at the top of his game for so long that it’s become almost unnewsworthy to report his success. Dettori is, of course, a big race jockey, and he has won everything there is to win. Below is a just a small slice of his huge list of big race wins: 

Ascot Gold Cup – 8 times 

Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe – 6 times 

The Derby – 2 times 

1,000 Guineas – 4 times 

2,000 Guineas – 3 times 

The Oaks – 6 times 

St Leger – 6 times 

Breeders Cup Classic – 1 time 

Breeders’ Cup Turf – 5 times 

Those are some stunning statistics above, but, in truth, they only scratch the surface of what Dettori has done in a career that now spans over three decades. And, don’t forget that 

Special day at Ascot 25 years ago 

Perhaps the most legendary feat was, of course, the Ascot Magnificent Seven. It was one of the greatest achievements in any sport, not just racing. Twenty-five years later, people are still talking about it. And it’s even being immortalised in the Frankie Dettori’s Magic Seven slot by Playtech. But in betting terms, it will probably never be repeated again.

If you weren’t aware, the “Magic”, or “Magnificent”, Seven refers to the day when Dettori went through the card at Ascot in 1996. Seven races, seven wins. The combined odds were something in the region of 25,000/1. And, yes, there were people who backed all seven winners in an accumulator bet. The names of those horses – Wall Street, Diffident, Mark of Esteem, Decorated Hero, Fatefully, Lochangel, and Fujiyama Crest – will go down in bettors’ folklore.

Dettori has a tremendous strike rate 

But what about the day-to-day grind of Dettori’s rides? We know he delivers in the big races, but is he the name you should always be looking out for on the race card? His stats are up there among the best. For example, he had a 21% strike rate when racing in Britain in 2021; 58% of his races were top-three finishes. You have to take those stats into consideration if you are betting on racing. 

Dettori’s best season (in terms of wins) was 2004, when he rode 195 winners in Britain. But, once again, it is the strike rate that punters should be looking at. He rides in far fewer races these days, but his win percentage is still incredible. In 2019, for example, Dettori rode 255 GB races, winning 66 – that’s a strike rate of 26%. Incredible stuff. 

Of course, naysayers would claim that Dettori’s win rate is so high only because he gets to pick the best mounts. There’s some truth in that, but that discounts the other brilliant jockeys (on other brilliant horses) in any given race. Dettori has won on short-priced favourites and long-odds unfancied mounts alike. He just keeps delivering even when people say his career is over. He can’t win every race – no jockey does – but if he is on your selection, you’ve always got a chance.

Photo: Archie R 

Thursday, 2 December 2021

Thursday's Lay Bets (2nd December)

Today's lays

6.30 Copinet 1PL 3/1 may prefer a longer trip plus trainer is 0-11 in the last 2 weeks and its been 26 days and 15 runners since the stables last win .... 

7.00 I'm Mable 2PL 7/2 may need a longer distance the horse is 0-4 on an AW track plus the trainer is 0-5 in the last 2 weeks 27 days with 11 runners since the stables last winner.

Good luck if you follow. 

Tuesday, 30 November 2021

Tuesday's Lay Bets (30th November)

Today's lays 

1.45 Rovanlemi 11/8 may prefer a longer trip and represents poor value.

3.45 Fine Wine 6/1 won a slow run race last time out, jockey has a poorish 8% win ratio for the stable and the trainer is 1-62 at this course.

5.45 Sharrabang 11/2 has only slow times over this c/d as it looks to prefer a longer trip.

6.15 Birdie Bowers 13/2 slow times from its previous 3 c/d runs plus poor trainer/jockey stats.

6.45 Hurstwood 4/1 beaten fav last time out and jockey is 0-7 for the stable.

Good luck if you follow.