Friday, 12 August 2022

Friday's Lay Bets (12th August)

Today's lays. 

1.45 Porfin 5/1 2PL may need a longer distance, has only ever won once before on grass and the trainer is 0-11 at this course. 

4.18 Q Twenty Boy 5/1 2PL can struggle to stay this distance with a fast early pace. 

6.07 Alligator Alley 2PL 11/8 I was wondering whether to lay this horse last night at 5/2 because i thought it was bad value for a horse that's last win came back in 2019 and hasn't been in good form lately but at 11/8 I will definitely be laying it, if it drifts back to bigger than 2/1 I will probably leave it alone.

Good luck if you follow. 

Thursday, 11 August 2022

Thursday's Lay Bet (11th August)

Today's lay. 

2.45 Arnold 5/1 2PL does like this course but all of its best form has come in slow run races which i doubt will happen here.

Good luck if you follow. 

Saturday, 6 August 2022

Saturday's Lay Bets (6th August)

Today's lays. 

2.10 Hurricane Ivor 8/1 2PL hasn't been in good form lately and needs to improve time wise to win this race.

7.05 Iconic Knight 6/1 2PL seems a better prospect on the Tapeta surface.

Good luck if you follow. 

Friday, 5 August 2022

Friday's Lay Bets (5th August)

Today's lays.

2.20 Pink Crystal 1PL 13/8 this horse has looked good finishing well in relatively slow run races but being a 3yo it could still improve or it could get outpaced here, where I expect there will be a fast early pace, and then not be able to make up the ground quickly enough to win and at the price it is poor value and has to be worth a small lay and take the risk, if it had been over 2/1 I would probably have left it alone and if it does win your losses are quite small.

4.25 Mr Pc 2PL 9/2 might have been flattered when finishing 2nd in a slow run affair over this course and distance, it does have decent trainer/jockey stats but the horse hasn't won on turf in 10 attempts but did make the frame in 3 of those 10 races.

Good luck if you follow. 

Wednesday, 3 August 2022

Wednesday's Lay Bets (3rd August)

Today's lays. 

1.40 Holbache 9/1 2PL has only slow times over today's distance as it might prefer a longer distance, it has decent trainer/jockey stats else might have been a bigger lay but it also has to still be a single figure price at the off to be a lay. 

2.30 Slainte Minath 4/1 2PL I'm not convinced this one likes this Tapeta surface as its sole run here was poor and hasn't even made the frame in its 4 runs on the AW, both the trainer and jockey have poorish win ratios of 8%. 

7.10 Stone Circle 5/1 2PL won its races in class 6 races, today is a class 5 race, may be in the grips of the official handicapper and might prefer a longer trip, has good trainer/jockey stats else would have been a 3PL. 

8.10 Bernard Speirpoint 4/1 3PL hasn't won over this distance and looks better over shorter distances, trainers record is 1-61 at this course and its been 60 runners and 172 days since the stables last winner.

Good luck if you follow. 

Tuesday, 2 August 2022

Tuesday's Lay Bets (2nd August)

Today's lays. 

8.10 Super Julius 2PL has never won over today's distance as it can struggle to stay this far. 

8.20 Beauen Arrows 2PL only shown much in slow run races and has poor trainer 3-212 stats and the jockeys win ratio is a poor 5%.

Good luck if you follow. 

Saturday, 30 July 2022

Saturday's Lay Bet (30th July)

Today's lay. 

6.45 Kaths Toyboy 9/2 2PL needs to improve time wise to win this race and that is probably because it might need a longer distance to show its best and also has poorish trainer/jockey stats.

Good luck if you follow. 

Friday, 29 July 2022

Friday's Lay Bets (29th July)

Today's lays. 

4.50 Sir Gregory 15/2 2PL seems to prefer the Polytrack surface. 

6.30 Louis Treize 7/1 2PL may prefer a longer distance. 

8.20 The Thin Blue Line 4/1 2PL may not be up to winning a class 3 race. 

8.30 Bossipop 4/1 2PL may need further to show its best and this race might not be run to suit it.

Good luck if you follow. 

Wednesday, 27 July 2022

Wednesday's Lay Bet (27th July)

Today's lay. 

4.20 Mr Trevor 4/1 2PL has relatively slow times and i think that's because it doesn't like the good to form surface also the trainer is 0-13 in the last 2 weeks and has a poor 4% win ratio at this course.

Good luck if you follow. 

Tuesday, 26 July 2022

Tuesday's Lay Bet (26th July)

Today's lay. 

4.20 Melody King 9/2 2PL needs to improve time wise and that might be because it doesn't seem to appreciate good to firm ground also the trainer is 0-15 at this course with their older (4yo+) horses.

Good luck if you follow.